8.5 Recurring case: connecting EDA to the problem
NVRW’s initial concern is uneven demand and possible capacity pressure. The EDA establishes:
- total visits increased over three complete years;
- growth is concentrated at Central and Lakeside during weekday evenings;
- family-program wait lists increased, but one year of capacity data is incomplete;
- members acquired through community events have lower initial volume but higher twelve-month retention;
- recent members cannot yet be classified on twelve-month retention; and
- facility-entry data contain duplicate scanner events requiring an episode rule.
These findings change the project. The team narrows capacity analysis to reliable periods, separates visits from unique users, adds a retention model with a valid observation window, and seeks population projections for the two growing service areas.